SAG Award Nominees Analysis

The nominees for the 18th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards were announced this morning and there were some surprises, some repeat nominees, and as always, the snubs.

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series

  • 30 Rock
  • The Office
  • The Big Bang Theory
  • Modern Family
  • Glee
There is no doubt that Modern Family will prevail in this category and walk away with the win. Modern Family has been constantly funnier than any other show that it’s up against this year, not to mention that Modern Family swept all five categories it was nominated for at the Emmys in September, and took home top comedy honors last year at the SAG’s. There were some upsetting snubs in this category, though. It’s a shame that Parks and Recreation wasn’t apart of this list, as well as Fox’s breakout hit New Girl. I also wouldn’t have minded seeing Happy Endings nominated (even though I know it’s a longshot) since it has had a stellar season so far story-wise, and in the ratings. Another upsetting snub, ABC’s Cougar Town.
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Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series
  • Boardwalk Empire
  • Breaking Bad
  • Dexter
  • Game of Thrones
  • The Good Wife
I think this category is pretty much what everyone would expect from a drama ensemble category. Everyone expected Game of Thrones to be nominated for its first season, as well as the second season of Boardwalk. Any of these shows can win the prize, especially since Mad Men isn’t eligible this year since it hasn’t aired any new episodes. Biggest snubs? Friday Night Lights, American Horror Story and Homeland. Both American Horror Story and Homeland have been the new best new shows of the fall season. Both are critically acclaimed and have awards potential. Some also may argue that Sons of Anarchy and Justified should be included on the snubbed list also.
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Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series
  • Patrick J. Adams –  Suits
  • Steve Buscemi  –Boardwalk Empire
  • Kyle Chandler – Friday Night Lights
  • Bryan Cranston – Breaking Bad
  • Michael C. Hall – Dexter
This biggest surprise nomination of the whole awards show this year is the surprise nomination of Patrick J. Adams of USA’s Suits. This show wasUSA’s biggest new hit on the summer. I absolutely love this show, and was pleasantly surprised to see Adams nominated. I think Kyle Chandler has a pretty good chance of winning this category, seeing that he was the sole nomination for Friday Night Lights‘ last season, as well as pulling off the shocking (and much deserved win) at the Emmys this year. Even though I would love to see Chandler win, I think this may go to Steve Buscemi from Boardwalk Empire. He won last year over the favorite, Mad Men‘s Jon Hamm, and I think he can win again.
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Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series
  • Kathy Bates – Harry’s Law
  • Glenn Close – Damages
  • Jessica Lange – American Horror Story
  • Julianna Margulies – The Good Wife
  • Kyra Sedgwick – The Closer
This category is always a toss-up. First, the biggest snub – which could count as a double snub – Connie Britton. She was eligible for two great performances (American Horror Story and Friday Night Lights), and wasnt nominated for either. I don’t care which show she could be nominated for, but she deserves a nomination. Claire Danes was also a surprising snub for her work on the first season of Showtime’s Homeland. I would easily remove Kathy Bates and Glenn Close from this list and insert Britton and Danes in a heartbeat. Who will win? I think Jessica Lange 100% deserves this award for her breathtaking work on American Horror Story, and even though she won the  SAG last year, I think Julianna Marguiles will win again for her role on The Good Wife.
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Outstanding Performance by Male Actor in a Comedy Series
  • Alec Baldwin – 30 Rock
  • Ty Burrell – Modern Family
  • Steve Carell – The Office
  • Jon Cryer – Two and a Half Men
  • Eric Stonestreet – Modern Family
There is so many right things about this category, and then so many wrong thing with this category at the same time. First, the bad. No Nick Offerman from Parks and Recreation. No Jim Parsons from The Big Bang Theory. Nick Offerman is one of the funniest men on television, and Parsons has won the Best Actor Emmy for two consecutive years, its time to give him a chance to be nominated for his category at the SAG’s, especially since this is the first year The Big Bang Theory has been nominated for ensemble comedy. Now onto the good. Every single one of these guys are funny in their own right, and even though Alec Baldwin has won the last three years (2009, 2010, 2011), there isn’t a doubt that one of the Modern Family guys will win this year. Saying that, I know Stonestreet or Burrell will probably win, it would be great to see Steve Carell win an award for his last season of The Office. He was robbed at the Emmys (six nominations, and he never won once for the role of Michael Scott), so it would be great to see him win here at the SAG’s.
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Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series
  • Julie Bowen – Modern Family
  • Sofia Vergara – Modern Family
  • Betty White – Hot in Cleveland
  • Tina Fey – 30 Rock 
  • Edie Falco – Nurse Jackie
So many things wrong with this category. Edie Falco shouldn’t be nominated for this show, again. Its funny in a dark way, but there are many more women in this category who are more deserving. First off, Amy Poehler is somehow absent here for her perfect portrayal of Leslie Knope on Parks and Recreation. It would have been good to see Zooey Deschanel get a surprise nomination for her role in New Girl, it would have been a pleasant surprise to see Christina Applegate nominated again, this time for her role on Up All Night, and I wonder when the awards committees are going to start recognizing the great work that Kaley Cuoco does on The Big Bang Theory. Betty White took home the award last year for her role on Hot in Cleveland, but I don’t think that’s going to happen two years in a role. I would definitely put my money on one of the Modern Family moms, maybe Sofia Vergara since Julie Bowen already has the Emmy.

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