How the Screen Actors Guild Awards, Golden Globes and Critics’ Choice Awards will impact the 2019 Emmys

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A09D130A-5A6A-40DA-813B-C9EF7FD8066D.JPGThe 2019 Primetime Emmy Awards nominations won’t be announced until July, but the recent announcements of the Golden Globes, the Critics’ Choice Awards, and Screen Actors Guild Awards will hopefully give some insight on what the Television Academy voters will lean toward once Emmy nominations come closer. While it’s entirely too early to be projecting Emmy nominations, the latest awards nominations from the guilds shed light on what trends will be coming to the 2019 Emmy Awards.

The heavy hitters from the Emmys last year – Barry, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel, The Handmaids Tale – will definitely be back in play in some capacity at next years Emmys, but the question at hand is in what capacity will they be returning? There are a lot of the new players that are infiltrating the awards circuit this winter. Two of the most buzzed about and well reviewed about drams of 2018, Homecoming and Killing Eve, made their presence known. Even though Homecoming was shut out with the Screen Actors Guild, I would like to think the surprise nomination for Stephan James for actor in a drama series by the Globes means this show is on people’s radar.

The drama categories at the Emmys next year are set to be very interesting, as last years Outstanding Drama Series winner Game of Thrones will be ineligible for the award next year due to it not airing new episodes within the eligibility window. Three more drama categories will also be open for new winners since Matthew Rhys (Outstanding Actor in a Drama Series for The Americans) will be gone since he won for the shows last season. Outstanding Supporting Actor in Drama Series Peter Dinklage (Game of Thrones) will be sitting out next year, and Outstanding Actress in a Drama Series Claire Foy (The Crown) won’t be eligible since she will not be in any episodes moving forward. The Outstanding Drama race is wide open as well, and luckily there’s a slew of new television series, actors, and actresses coning into the waiting to race waiting to win an Emmy.

This the way I’m thinking of how things may shape up for Outstanding Drama Series (even though I said I wasn’t going to make any predictions!) The ray of hope for Homecoming, Killing Eve, and other hopefuls like Succession and Netflix’s Bodyguard (which somewhat unexpectedly showed up at the Golden Globes), is the fact Game of Thrones and The Americans will be out of the race next year, which open up two slots (lets just pretend those automatically go to Homecoming and Killing Eve). I have to wonder to myself about This is Us, Westworld, and Stranger Things – the latter getting zero nominations anywhere between the three awards shows recently, and the former two barely receiving recognition as well, you have to wonder if the Emmys may overlook these series next year. Could Succession make a surprise appearance?

And don’t forget about FX’s splashy Ryan Murphy drama Pose, that won the hearts of critics and viewers alike this year! The surprise of Bill Porter receiving a nomination, as well as a Best Drama nomination from the Golden Globes this year, it’s going to be on Emmy’s radar.

Since I went against myself in predicting any categories, here are my extremely early and preliminary Outstanding Drama Series at the 2019 Emmys:

  • The Handmaids Tale
  • Killing Eve
  • Homecoming
  • Bodyguard
  • Succession
  • The Crown
  • Pose

The biggest winner of last years Emmys was The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel, winning Outstanding Lead and Supporting Actress (Rachel Bronsahan and Alex Borstein, respectively), Outstanding Writing and Directing For a Comedy Series (Amy Sherman-Palladino), and Outstanding Comedy Series, so Maisel is easily the frontrunner in next years comedy race.

Nominees from the Globes, Critics Choice, and SAGs really give insight into the upcoming comedy and drama race.

On the comedy side, it’s looking like the biggest new comedy contender is easily The Kominsky Method, which has shown up all three awards shows for its stars Micheal Douglas and Adam Arkin, in addition to a being a contender in all the comedy races.  After three seasons, it looks like The Good Place may be finally entering the awards circuit. It garnered two Emmy nominations last year (Ted Danson and guest star Maya Rudolph), and has earned nominations at the Golden Globes and the Critics’ Choice. HBO’s Barry and Netlfix’s GLOW still seem popular with voters, and will have a strong chance at showing up at the Emmys next year.

While Maisel did win big last year, and it does have competition from newcomers The Kominshy Method, and returning players Barry, Atlanta, and hopefully The Good Place, there is one show that will be looking to go head-to-head and recapture its Emmy glory that sat out of the Emmys last year, and isn’t apart of the current Globes, Critics Choice or SAGs conversation, and that show is Veep. It seem like Julia Louis-Dreyfus and company are readying a fantastic final season, and while it’s been off the air for more than year, it’s all but definite that the final season will return as strong as ever – with its final chaotic storylines joining the 2019-2020 awards circuit. If you don’t think Veep will be the automatic frontrunner to win at next years Emmys, along with Julia Louis-Dreyfus for her 7th win in this role as Selena Mayer, think again!

Another sleeper nomination for Outstanding Comedy Series, and I hold my breath saying this… but watch out for The Big Bang Theory. Even those this is going to be extremely unlikely, the Emmys may want to celebrate its final season. Even though Big Bang hasn’t shown up at the Emmys since 2014, it does have 52 Emmy nominations and 10 wins overall – 4 for Jim Parsons as Outstanding Actor in a Comedy Series (2010, 2011, 2013, 2014). What’s just a few more nominations for its 12th and final season?

Since I predicted the Drama race, I will for Comedy as well (its only fair!). I will predict eight nominees, since that’s the number that were nominated last year:

  • The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
  • Barry
  • The Kominsky Method
  • The Big Bang Theory
  • The Good Place
  • Veep
  • Atlanta
  • black-ish

We still have over 8 months until the Emmy nominations are announced, and over 10 months until the actual awards, but the Golden Globes, Critics’ Choice and Screen Actors Guild Awards are always the precursors of what’s going to happen throughout the year leading up to the Emmys. It’s going to be a very interesting year.!

 

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